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S2 NA Regional Round 1 Predictions

by Pingmeep @ August 29, 2012
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Today is the start of the Season 2 NA Regionals at PAX Prime in Seattle Washington. With a $150,000USD prize pool, and the chance of a salaried eSports career in the Season 3 Championship Series every team wants to place in the top 3. Here's a quick overview of the first round matches and some of the picks. First round matches are Bo3 and single elimination.

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Team Curse vs TSM Evo
Aug 30, 11AM PDT/2PM EDT/8PM CEST

Pingmeep:
Curse has been outperforming Evo on LAN events as of late. I hate betting against Nhat and Co. but aside from cheese and counter cheese I just can't see a way for Evo to make it through.

LightBlind:
Curse > Evo: playing much better than Evo lately.

AttackFang:
Curse has been performing at the last LAN events, and have been a top 3-4 team since they got their gaming house/apartment.

DigiWombat:
Evo has been extremely quiet in the past few weeks, but the loss of Aphromoo gives me deep concerns about their ability to perform against Curse who has been picking up a lot of steam lately.

MalfusX
Curse has the hot hand coming off some impressive games in Raleigh where they swore they were still holding back. Evo has been a crowd pleaser for some time, but the loss of their nhatphromoo bottom lane is likely to cause them problems against Cop and Elementz. 2-0 to Curse

Team SoloMid vs Monomaniac Ferus
Aug 30, 2:30PM PDT/5:30 PM EDT/11:30 PM CEST

Pingmeep:
On paper this is supposed to be the easiest match to call. TSM is top seed in NA and mMe.ferus (formerly mTw.NA) barely squeaked by with a winning tiebreaker vs Orbit Gaming at MLG over the weekend. Still to me this feels like either a clean sweep or upset waiting to happen.

LightBlind: TSM > mMe ferus: TSM at LAN is beast.

AttackFang:
TSM > Ferus. Ferus is really strong, but TSM has been practicing for weeks. I expect something new to come out from them.

DigiWombat:
TSM. Ferus has a solid chance at pulling a win out, but there's some sort of tournament magic that TSM pulls out of their pants to just straight up win tournaments. Pants magic.

MalfusX:
Ferus has been firing on all cylinders since the addition of Aphromoo to their lineup, but they're going head to head with one of the most accomplished and storied teams in the game's history. TSM comes into this event fresh, sharp and hungry after their decision not to participate in MLG Raleigh and they'll be out for blood and the $40k top prize. 2-1 to TSM

Team Dignitas vs Team Dynamic
Aug 31, 11AM PDT/2PM EDT/8PM CEST

Pingmeep:
Perhaps the closest match-up. Dignitas may have held back against Dynamic before but few teams can see through cheese like TD and make it to a point where they can win. 2-1 for Team Dignitas but some of the toughest matches of the first round.

LightBlind:
Dig > TD: Close match, Dig have had trouble with TD before but they will have strats prepared so should win.

AttackFang:
TD > Dig. I'm going out on a limb on this one. Dynamic has looked a LOT better since they reestablished the lineup they had at IPL4.

DigiWombat:
I think Dig still has this. TD has never been a consistent tournament team and their live tourney play is pretty all over the place. Dig, on the other hand, consistently plays well and basically walked over the field at Raleigh and they gave up a game to TD, but eh. EH.

MalfusX:
Dignitas come from Raleigh into the regionals with a pair of wins over Dynamic and a lot to prove after the controversy surrounding the grand finals. Dignitas also claim to have a few nasty surprises for their opponents, expect to see them come out swinging against the youngsters. 2-0 to Dig

Counter Logic Gaming Prime vs Team Legion
Aug 31, 2PM PDT/5PM EDT/11PM CEST

Pingmeep:
CLG.Prime has been to Korea and has played against and scrimmed some of the best teams in that region. With the depth of experience and finally competing in NA with their full roster they should take out LgN. CLG's rushed departure out of Korea to avoid Typhoon Bolaven may have shaved some of the most precious practice time. If they didn't do their homework LgN could surprise them for a game and maybe the series. Still I'm betting that CLG will try to use the conventional wisdom to take out Lautemortis with a jungle invade at 1:55 and keep the advantage with better mechanics.

LightBlind:
CLG > LgN: Korea practice OP

AttackFang:
CLG > LGN. Jiji is king.

DigiWombat:
LGN at this point is an also-ran. They were streaky at best in their original incarnation as RFLX and they have failed to produce anything significant in recent months to make anyone things CLG could be toppled. BUT HEY! Surprises are always fun.

MalfusX:
Legion put their mark on the community with an outstanding performance at IPL Face Off in San Francisco. If there is a matchup that could see a huge upset, this might be the one. CLG's success in this tournament will be dependent on their bottom lane: they will live or die by Doublelift's performance. One more thing to remember going into the regionals: CLG have not won a top-tier tournament since MLG Raleigh 2011. 2-1 to CLG

That's what we think, now it's your turn to make your prediction with a comment below.

Source: http://www.solomid.net/blog.php?v=31851

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